16 May, 2024

CME’s Spot Bitcoin Plans Challenge Top Crypto Exchanges

Suchet Dhindsa Salvesen
Written by
Suchet Salvesen
Suchet Dhindsa Salvesen Suchet Salvesen Expert Author
Suchet is a Norwegian economist, entrepreneur, and investor, serving as the CFO and COO of Brainfund. With over a decade of experience in global expansion, venture capital, and emerging technologies, he earned his MBA from the NMBU School of Business & Economics. He held dual bachelor's degrees from the University of South-Eastern Norway. His career...
José F. Pereira
Fact checked by
José F. Pereira
José F. Pereira José F. Pereira Expert
José, a Partner at Caerus Venture Capital, specializes in seed-stage tech investments in culture-related sectors like sports, music, and entertainment. His career began in Luxembourg's finance sector, managing a varied portfolio of alternative investment funds. His interest in digital assets soon grew into a deep research passion, leading him to develop unique crypto analysis methods...
top crypto exchange
Key Takeaways
  • The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) plans to offer spot Bitcoin trading to institutional clients.
  • A regulated platform for spot Bitcoin trading is a direct challenge to the dominance of top crypto exchanges.

CME Group Headquarters
CME Group Headquarters | Source: Bloomberg

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is planning to offer spot Bitcoin trading to meet the surging demand from institutional clients, according to the Financial Times.

These plans have not been confirmed, and the CME Group has declined to comment on the subject.

A spot Bitcoin trading platform offered by the world’s futures market superpower would be a serious challenge to the market dominance of top crypto exchanges.

CME already dominates bitcoin futures trading, and a well-regulated trading platform could see enormous inflows from large financial institutions.

The spot market would allow institutional investors to exercise complementary trading strategies alongside the already existing market for futures and micro-futures. 

The launch of the extremely popular spot Bitcoin ETFs dented demand in CME’s futures market.

Therefore, CME is incentivized to recapture that lost market with its own spot Bitcoin trading.

Top Crypto Exchanges Impacted by CME Spot Bitcoin Trading

CME dominates the Bitcoin futures market, which is mostly used by large institutional clients.

Binance similarly dominates Bitcoin trading, far surpassing the volumes of Bitcoin traded on other top crypto exchanges.

However, Coinbase is the top crypto exchange based in the United States, which is relevant to institutional investors.

Coinbase stands to lose a larger share of its business to the CME, as institutional clients are far more likely to use an onshore crypto exchange.

It is difficult to say how much institutional money currently trades on the existing top crypto exchanges. 

However, the transition to the security of the CME from both offshore and onshore exchanges will be significant.

While much of the business generated by CME’s spot Bitcoin trading will be new or drawn from futures markets, the top crypto exchanges will definitely see a drop in business.

With so much of the current explosive growth in the price of Bitcoin being attributed to institutional investors, the transition from top crypto exchanges to CME will be an important metric to follow.

“Crypto exchanges might lose some business with the potential debut of a Bitcoin spot market on the CME, as the present bull run is particularly driven by institutions, who prefer to trade on regulated avenues.” 

– Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated.

CME Spot Bitcoin Trading to Claw Back Losses from ETFs

CME Bitcoin Futures Contracts
CME Bitcoin Futures Contracts | Source: BNN

The enormous demand for exposure to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies from institutional investors is driving the growth in offerings from traditional financial platforms.

CME’s Bitcoin futures trading took a substantial hit when the spot Bitcoin ETFs rolled out.

This shows that much of the futures demand was from institutional investors who actually wanted secure exposure to spot Bitcoin prices.

While the impact on top crypto exchanges may be significant, the real effect will be felt in the spot ETF market.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs look to see the inflow from the futures market and more flow into the CME’s new spot Bitcoin trading platform.